Gronkoski finished second, and ruined our bets….

WagerMate likes the two favorites…

I’ll bet an exacta with 1 over 3, 4, 7, 10.  And another exacta with 4, 7, 10 over 1, 4, 7, 10.

I’ll bet a superfecta with 1 over 3, 4, 7, 10 over 3, 4, 7, 10 over All.

Enjoy!

We got 75% of the 7-8-6-5 superfecta, for a payoff of $0.00.

The exacta paid $13.70

The two bets cost a total of $12.80, so that’s a tiny profit.

We can use this as an example of needing both handicapping skills and wagering skills to make money.  Almost everyone thought Justify was the best horse — that’s handicapping. But, how do you wager & profit from that belief?  I used a common approach: bet on some long shots to finish in the money.

WagerMate likes the favorites…

…but doesn’t recommend those bets.

Instead, I’ll bet an exacta with 5, 7 over 1, 2, 6, 8 and a superfecta with 5, 7 over 5, 6, 7 over 1, 2, 5, 6, 7, 8 over 1 ,2, 5, 6, 7, 8.

WagerMate struck out — it didn’t have either Justify or Good Magic in the top 4 spots, so that exacta cost $24 with no return.

These are WagerMate’s picks…

I’m going to bet an exacta with 5, 9, 11, 16 over 5, 6, 7, 9, 11, 14, 16.

…which uses the WagerMate picks on top, and adds a couple of favorites to place.

I managed to lose all 14 Win bets, for a grand total of $28.

I did win two of the exactas for $67.80 and $17.00.  So the $78 spent on exacta tickets returned $84.80.

Hope you had as much fun as I did!

Just like last year, WagerMate likes a mix of favorites and long shots for the Breeders’ Cup races. I’ll place $2 win bets on every horse that WagerMate says has an ROI over 25% — that’s 4 horses on Friday, and 14 horses on Saturday.

I’ll also place $1 exacta box bets on the top 3 picks in each race.

Here are the Friday picks…

And these are WagerMate’s contenders for the Saturday races…

Good luck!

Tapwrit won — none of the other WagerMate picks was even close.

Soooo, let’s average the Derby & Preakness & Belmont results and talk about that number….

…$168.10 returned for a $36 investment.

WagerMate likes some long shots…

I’ll box those 4 horses in an exacta.

Ummmm.  Well Cloud Computing messed up my exacta.  Let’s average the Derby & Preakness results and talk about that number….

WagerMate likes…

So I’ll box the same 4 horses in an exacta as I did for the Kentucky Derby.

The finish order of 5-1-11-14 means the $12 exacta I played turned into $168.10.

I was impressed that Lookin At Lee could do so well from post position 1.

WagerMate’s picks…

I’ll box those in an exacta.

I made 22 win bets.  I miscounted in the last blog entry — the figures show that 21 horses had an ROI over 25% — and Masochistic turned into the 22nd bet because of a scratch in the sixth race yesterday.  The winning bets were on Champagne Room, Finest City, and Tourist.  That’s $115.40 back on the $44 worth of win bets.

Only two of the exacta bets paid off, returning $57.60 on the 13 bets of $6 each (total of $78 spent).

For the weekend, that’s a profit of $51.00 on $122 bet.

Three points:

1. This would have been a lot worse without $69.20 from Champagne Room, so you could say we had some good luck.
2. Champagne Room was the 11th most popular horse out of 12 in the race, so WagerMate deserves some credit for making it a contender.
3. This was done without a shred of manual handicapping.  I still think you should add your own work to WagerMate’s ideas.

WagerMate likes a mix of favorites and long shots for the Breeders’ Cup races this year. I’ll place $2 win bets on every horse that WagerMate says has an ROI over 25% — that’s 7 horses on Friday, and 12 horses on Saturday.

I’ll also place $1 exacta box bets on the top 3 picks in each race.

Here are the Friday picks…

These are WagerMate’s contenders for Saturday…

Have Fun!

13-2-10-1 — with Creator paying $34.80 to win, and Destin paying $9.40 to place.

Didn’t see that coming…

WagerMate is more enthusiastic about Suddenbreakingnews than I am…

…but as a show of faith, I’ll make a small win bet on 4.

I’ll box 4, 5, and 11 for the exacta.

For the superfecta, I will bet 4, 5, 11 over 4, 5, 11 over  1, 3, 4, 5, 10, 11 over  1, 3, 4, 5, 10, 11.

5-1-3-11 — so, no tickets to cash.

WagerMate likes Nyquist…

…but I won’t make any win bets.

My exacta bet: 3 over 2, 5, 11.

My superfecta bet: 3 over 1, 2, 5, 11 over 1, 2, 5, 7, 11 over 1, 2, 5, 7, 11.

Have fun!