2014 Belmont Posted on June 6, 2014 by WagerMate Dan WagerMate says California Chrome has a 24% chance of winning, but will be a lousy bet (a negative ROI). So, here’s the plan: bet a $1 exacta with 2 & All for a total of $10. Add a $1 exacta 5/8/10 over 2/5/8/10 for another $9. How can you lose?